The New Me?
I have a new strategy. The hell with my stupid chasing everything, playing a lot of different games, losing multiple buyins every night. I lost down to $278 from $400 the other night. I have decided I need to stop this shit if I am ever going to be a serious Poker player. So here is my latest attempt at discipline. I shall play no more than 3 hours a night. However many nights I want. I will be an NL specialist. Only 25/NL. I will only risk one buyin a night. We shall see how long this lasts. Tonight was easy. I won $100 playing NL and was more than happy to leave.
Now to the bad move that paid off for the night. I would like some constructive feedback on this. I do not think it was a horrible play.
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) converter
Hero is Button with J:heart:, A:club:.
SB posts a blind of $0.25.
UTG+1 raises to $1
MP3 calls $1,
CO calls $1,
Hero calls $1
BB calls $0.50.
Flop: ($5.25) 5:heart:, K:heart:, T:heart:
MP3 bets $5
Hero raises to $20
MP3 raises $3.50 (MP3 All in)
Hero calls $3.50.
Turn: ($33.75) J:spade (2 players)
River: ($33.75) 3:heart: (2 players)
Final Pot: $33.75
Hero Wins $33.75 with a K high flush
I felt really bad because this was against a fellow blogger. I did suckout somewhat. I do not think I played this horribly and here is my thinking behind the hand. I get bet five bucks after the flop. I have many outs for my straight, Ace overcard and flush draw (14.5 outs maybe). Not incredible amount of outs but enough that I could expect to win ¼th of the time I think.
I have a HUGE stack. In NL I believe this is an advantage. If I lose 25 bucks I will be sad but I can pack it in with 3x my buyin and then some. I will have made a profit for the day and that is all one can ask.
So I am looking at the board. I do not think someone with a flush would bet five bucks into the pot. If he has a flush, especially the nut flush, I am dead and we would not be talking about this. So with the five dollar bet I put him on TP something. I sort of can rule out AK because he did not raise pre-flop. I would *think* he would have jacked it to a few bucks pre-flop if he had AK. So I decide to put the pressure on. I raise him his entire stack. If he has TP then he SHOULD fold it. I could have trips, two pair, something good, or even a baby flush maybe. He goes into the tank and considers all of the possibilities. He decides (I assume) that I am trying to steal and calls me. I end up spiking my flush on the river and win the hand.
In checking out the odds converters, if I knew his hand, which would make Holdem a lot easier, then I was something between a 54-58% favorite pre-flop. I think my thinking was sound for a change. I did get a little bit lucky but that is part of the game. Perhaps I will do alright in the NL world. Either that or go broke faster.